2022 Midterm Election
Demographic, Attitudinal, and Electoral Changes in Pennsylvania Partisans Since 2000
We review some long-term trends in the partisan alignment of the state's voters, looking at demographic and attitudinal sorting, geographic realignment, and two issues--gun control and abortion. What does this mean for the state's electoral politics?
Looking Ahead to the 2024 U.S. Senate Race
What can the April F&M poll tell us about the relative appeal of the two Republicans who have discussed running in Pennsylvania? We take a look at Senator Casey's chances against both Doug Mastriano and David McCormick.
Nationalization in Pennsylvania's 2022 Midterm Races
This month's newsletter examines split-district voting in Pennsylvania state house elections to see how much nationalization exists, and how this voter behavior has changed over time.
Untangling and Explaining Voter Preferences in Our 2022 Midterm Surveys
We review the 2022 F&M polls about the Pennsylvania midterm elections, discuss how the choices we made affected how we thought about the races, and consider the lessons we will remember for future surveys.
Polling in the 2022 Pennsylvania Midterms
Analysis of the 2022 Pennsylvania midterm election polls, with an eye to understanding political poll performance and polling error.
Election Postmortem
What happened in the 2022 midterm elections in Pennsylvania and across the country? Did issues like the economy and abortion rights affect the outcome? How analysis of the F&M midterm polls can help in understanding the unexpected results.