Election Analysis
2024 Primary Recap: Protest Votes and Other Surprises
An analysis of the unexpected outcomes in the 2024 Pennsylvania primary election. We look at how the protest vote, turnout, and geography influenced the results, and what this might mean for the upcoming general election.
The 2023 Municipal Election: Abortion Rights Likely Gave Democrats an Advantage
Turnout in Pennsylvania on November 7 was higher than expected, and Democrats won a race they had lost in 2021. We dig into the data to understand why.
Nationalization in Pennsylvania's 2022 Midterm Races
This month's newsletter examines split-district voting in Pennsylvania state house elections to see how much nationalization exists, and how this voter behavior has changed over time.
New Resources about State Politics and Public Opinion
Learn about resources for understanding election polls and public opinion in Pennsylvania, including how to find survey data in the F&M Poll archive. Also read about a new book analyzing whether politics were more nationalized in the 2020 elections.
Election Postmortem
What happened in the 2022 midterm elections in Pennsylvania and across the country? Did issues like the economy and abortion rights affect the outcome? How analysis of the F&M midterm polls can help in understanding the unexpected results.
2022 Primary Recap: Turnout, Geography, and Issues
In the 2022 Pennsylvania primary elections, how did geography affect support for the candidates? What about voter turnout? And what did the polls say about the importance of issues such as the economy, abortion rights, and gun control?
Feeding the Goat
What can we learn about the upcoming 2022 midterm elections from Pennsylvania's 2021 municipal election? We look at county-level data to help answer this question.