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Electoral Context

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Party Identification Shifted to Republicans in 2021

We review past political polls to set the context for the 2022 midterm elections. Can Democrats make up the ground they've lost to Republicans?

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Feeding the Goat

What can we learn about the upcoming 2022 midterm elections from Pennsylvania's 2021 municipal election? We look at county-level data to help answer this question.

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Population and Voter Registration Changes in Pennsylvania Since 2000

Using recently released U.S. Census data, we examine how changes in Pennsylvania's rural and urban populations relate to changes in voting habits.

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Does a Trump Endorsement Help or Hurt in Pennsylvania?

How does former President Trump's endorsement affect candidates in primary elections? We look at past races as well as the 2022 US Senate primary, in which Trump has endorsed Sean Parnell.

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A Final Look at the 2021 Pennsylvania Primary Election

Do the results of the 2021 municipal primaries provide any clues about voter sentiment heading into the 2022 mid-term elections?

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The 2022 Primary Elections: Political Catnip

What can the results of past years' high profile primary contests tell us about how the 2022 midterm elections may play out?