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Political Geography

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Shapiro as Vice President?

Can the Pennsylvania governor help Kamala Harris win the presidency? We discuss why he's so popular and how his candidacy might resonate with U.S. voters.

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Franklin & Marshall College Poll Release: PA 10th Congressional District, June 2024

In this poll of registered voters in PA CD-10, we look at the mood of the district's voters and explore the state of the 2024 presidential and congressional races, including the effect of the Trump guilty verdict on voters' choices.

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2024 Primary Recap: Protest Votes and Other Surprises

An analysis of the unexpected outcomes in the 2024 Pennsylvania primary election. We look at how the protest vote, turnout, and geography influenced the results, and what this might mean for the upcoming general election.

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Will Population Changes in Pennsylvania Since 2020 Help Republicans?

Uneven patterns of migration between counties could make the 2024 presidential campaign even more closely contested than it was in 2020.

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Demographic, Attitudinal, and Electoral Changes in Pennsylvania Partisans Since 2000

We review some long-term trends in the partisan alignment of the state's voters, looking at demographic and attitudinal sorting, geographic realignment, and two issues--gun control and abortion. What does this mean for the state's electoral politics?

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2022 Primary Recap: Turnout, Geography, and Issues

In the 2022 Pennsylvania primary elections, how did geography affect support for the candidates? What about voter turnout? And what did the polls say about the importance of issues such as the economy, abortion rights, and gun control?

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Pennsylvania 2022 Primary Election Preview

This month's newsletter looks at some rarely discussed features that might affect Pennsylvania's primary elections: regional turnout, endorsements, a candidate's county of residence, and a candidate's ballot position.

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Feeding the Goat

What can we learn about the upcoming 2022 midterm elections from Pennsylvania's 2021 municipal election? We look at county-level data to help answer this question.

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Population and Voter Registration Changes in Pennsylvania Since 2000

Using recently released U.S. Census data, we examine how changes in Pennsylvania's rural and urban populations relate to changes in voting habits.

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The 2022 Primary Elections: Political Catnip

What can the results of past years' high profile primary contests tell us about how the 2022 midterm elections may play out?