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Poll Performance

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2024 Pennsylvania Polling: Focusing on Performance in the Horse Race isn’t Good Enough

We explore how oversimplified postmortem polling assessments can be more harmful than helpful.

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Untangling and Explaining Voter Preferences in Our 2022 Midterm Surveys

We review the 2022 F&M polls about the Pennsylvania midterm elections, discuss how the choices we made affected how we thought about the races, and consider the lessons we will remember for future surveys.

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Polling in the 2022 Pennsylvania Midterms

Analysis of the 2022 Pennsylvania midterm election polls, with an eye to understanding political poll performance and polling error.

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Primary Polling in 2022

What are the limitations of primary election polling? We review political polls in the U.S. since 2000 to learn what polls can, and can't, tell us.

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Polls: Helpful Tools for Reducing Uncertainty

In light of AAPOR's recent analysis of the 2020 election polls, we consider an important question: Have polls outlived their usefulness?

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Assessing the 2020 Pennsylvania Election Polls

Our first newsletter reviews the 2020 polls and offers recommendations about how those interested in politics can best use polling information.