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Poll Transparency

Members Public

2024 Pennsylvania Polling: Focusing on Performance in the Horse Race isn’t Good Enough

We explore how oversimplified postmortem polling assessments can be more harmful than helpful.

Members Public

Polling the Presidential Race: Does Methodology Matter?

We explore how various methodologies may affect poll results, looking particularly at how different approaches to sampling and data collection seem to produce slightly different descriptions of the 2024 presidential race.

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Untangling and Explaining Voter Preferences in Our 2022 Midterm Surveys

We review the 2022 F&M polls about the Pennsylvania midterm elections, discuss how the choices we made affected how we thought about the races, and consider the lessons we will remember for future surveys.

Members Public

Polling in the 2022 Pennsylvania Midterms

Analysis of the 2022 Pennsylvania midterm election polls, with an eye to understanding political poll performance and polling error.