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Voter Registration

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Thinking About Likely Voters...

There have been many comments and questions about the likely voter data reported in the October F&M Poll, and how we define likely voters. In this post, we address the two most common questions.

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Demographic, Attitudinal, and Electoral Changes in Pennsylvania Partisans Since 2000

We review some long-term trends in the partisan alignment of the state's voters, looking at demographic and attitudinal sorting, geographic realignment, and two issues--gun control and abortion. What does this mean for the state's electoral politics?

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Party Identification Shifted to Republicans in 2021

We review past political polls to set the context for the 2022 midterm elections. Can Democrats make up the ground they've lost to Republicans?

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Population and Voter Registration Changes in Pennsylvania Since 2000

Using recently released U.S. Census data, we examine how changes in Pennsylvania's rural and urban populations relate to changes in voting habits.

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Are Pennsylvania Voters Fleeing from the Republican Party?

Has the Republican Party in Pennsylvania lost voters since the 2020 election? We look at changes in voter registration over the past two decades.